Quick Picks for UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch

UFC 127 goes down tonight, live from Australia.  ‘Downtown’ Dave Brown gives us his picks for the evening’s three main fights.

Jon Fitch (23-3) vs. BJ Penn (16-7-1)

Fitch is a supremely good wrestler, wicked strong, and a huge 170.  He can outwork BJ just like GSP did a few years ago.  Fitch’s lay and pray strategy probably won’t be very effective against BJ’s ground game.  If BJ can stay upright and use his excellent boxing combined with his edge in speed, Fitch could have a long night.  Fitch wins by decision.

Michael Bisping (20-3) vs. Jorge Rivera (19-7)

Rivera represents a step down in competition for Bisping.  The UFC probably just wants him to put together a nice winning streak, so they can call his next fight a #1 contenders bout.  Rivera has no advantage anywhere in the octagon.  His boxing isn’t up to snuff, neither is his muay thai.  His BJJ is weak, and he won’t out wrestle the Brit. Look for Bisping to start slow and finish Rivera with a flurry in the 2nd.  Bisping wins by TKO in the 2nd.

Dennis Siver (17-7) vs. George Sotiropolous (14-2)

Very tough fight to call.  Siver possesses great kick boxing, but hasn’t really been tested by any great fighters in the division.  Siver will also be dealing with the raging Australian fans rooting for their countryman.  Sotiropolous has been training all over the world and possesses a really well-rounded style.  Once this fight hits the floor, George will have his way with the Russian-born Siver.  Sotiropolous wins via submission in the 1st.

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